Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 106.497828 117.901063 129.503477 142.162468 155.556137 169.277446 184.368794
2024-12-15 88.235696 104.795353 122.336126 142.181277 163.894379 186.821746 212.754371
2024-12-22 76.072707 95.385017 116.471717 140.963018 168.393398 197.954270 232.007743
2024-12-29 68.572290 90.087297 114.188626 142.788395 175.421156 211.149096 252.883288
2025-01-05 62.859034 86.152161 112.848673 145.123645 182.535015 224.037133 273.070703
2025-01-12 56.114391 80.378851 108.848620 143.914473 185.192930 231.567838 286.952005
2025-01-19 49.375632 74.061800 103.732395 140.964478 185.460262 236.062030 297.115272
2025-01-26 47.079052 73.071259 104.866003 145.297794 194.132288 250.137485 318.183873
2025-02-02 44.464788 71.450542 105.048139 148.335374 201.158715 262.229046 336.923361
2025-02-09 40.188910 67.348056 101.880488 147.057645 202.842550 267.930476 348.134937
2025-02-16 36.333517 63.535507 98.856784 145.761125 204.339887 273.284107 358.837823
2025-02-23 33.805545 61.369767 97.818881 146.838249 208.642192 281.906658 373.344819
2025-03-02 31.177598 58.927611 96.338487 147.319647 212.226393 289.732640 387.026101
2025-03-09 28.970412 56.945203 95.364100 148.372272 216.472023 298.337505 401.645918
2025-03-16 26.109034 53.782611 92.624954 146.988873 217.550758 303.017226 411.505577
2025-03-23 24.572280 52.522642 92.423007 148.879018 222.723677 312.669065 427.339771
2025-03-30 23.313417 51.604697 92.634817 151.272681 228.510390 323.065037 444.082049
2025-04-06 21.053256 48.919737 90.216338 150.032449 229.557406 327.560676 453.630590
2025-04-13 18.480225 45.506156 86.584217 147.005507 228.181421 328.963716 459.340752
2025-04-20 18.125592 45.823114 88.400769 151.451592 236.546230 342.531314 479.969695
2025-04-27 17.445077 45.522342 89.269103 154.567445 243.164570 353.921821 497.949808
2025-05-04 15.704364 43.206856 87.017940 153.256868 243.896750 357.876718 506.750106
2025-05-11 14.098534 40.991465 84.813785 151.926903 244.537420 361.669281 515.317449